Wednesday, 26 October 2011
Jeff Quinto skype
Skype meeting with Jeff Quinto:
Well, Jeff's a really affable character, it was an interesting hour talking trading with him. Even though my futures trading has only produced small profits he thought I was doing well since I'm new to trading futures and the markets have been, and are in, a difficult phase to trade well.
He explained that trading is really business of ensuring the balance is right between winning and losing trades and making sure that the gains clearly outweigh the losses. The focus is not, and should not, be on increasing the accuracy of winners (high win rate) but ensuring that the strategy maximises the profits from the winning trades and minimises losses from losing trades. We talked about how my signals are typically 50% winners, 50% losers and that I need to create more of an advantage by getting rid of trades that aren't working more quickly, by reducing my initial stop size. He advised that a trade should work "immediately and profoundly" otherwise it's a waste of time to wait around while the market does nothing, and in that time, another opportunity could be missed. We talked about some of the statistics of my performance. One I mentioned was that I kept records of the amount of points the market went against winning trades before they went the my way, and that the average stop required for the winning trades was 1.29 Nasdaq points. I had reduced my stop from 4 points to 3.25 and will now look at reducing this down to 2.5 or 2.
In discussing my trailing stop he advised that it makes sense to take this approach since you shouldn't restrict the amount the market is willing to pay you. You want to be available for those times the market is willing to reward you and by using a runner you can do that. However what he did say was that I should add more value to my trading by moving my trailing stop manually, rather than let a platform do it, and it's size should be adjusted to account for current market conditions / volatility. Trailing stops need to be dynamic depending on the type of market conditions present, it's not a one size fits all scenario. I'll need to do some research on that aspect of my strategy.
My strategy is in some ways at odds to his Theory of Trading (being that positions should only be taken in the direction of the inertia), since I am counter trend trading, and really do not consider the current bias of the market in my trading decisions, I just take all the buy or sell signals, so I could look at - only taking set-ups that are in line with some form of defined trend (?). His theory is to enter in the direction of the trend on retracements. What I could do is incorporate that in my strategy by adding a position to a winning position, on retracements. That would dovetail with his advice that you should press your advantage.
We also spoke of indicators and he agreed with me that too many people focus on that aspect of trading rather than the more important aspects such as setting and sticking to a strict rules based method of trading.
Overall it was a useful hour, I liked his approach which is very much encouragement to look at certain areas and think about what fits into your own trading style, whilst keeping in mind the basic principles of profitable trading. Once I've slept on it I may have more to add.
In finishing he advised he was looking forward to getting an email from me in the future, telling him about my successful trading.
I'm looking forward to that too.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment