This is based on a study of similar set-ups from 2002 onwards. Over the next 10 days the probability of the market going higher is diminished.
Also...
This from www.forexfactory.com. They have a tool on their economic calendar that allows you to chart previous numbers.
This is non-farm payrolls over time. From November 2010 there was a continuous trend of underestimated forecasts, a similar type of situation has developed over the last three months.
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